TOP 10 Countries with Highest Core Inflation (2025)
Core inflation is the part of inflation that policymakers watch when they want to know whether price pressure is still spreading through wages, rents, services and routine non-energy consumption. Unlike headline CPI, it is designed to strip out the most volatile items and show whether inflation is becoming embedded in the slower-moving part of the economy.
That makes it more useful than the headline number when the real question is whether a central bank is dealing with a temporary shock or with persistent domestic inflation. For households, businesses and investors, this matters because sticky inflation is the kind that tends to keep borrowing costs elevated for longer.
Source basis: This page draws on official central-bank and statistical-office releases published around the turn of 2025–2026. Inclusion was limited to countries where the year-end publication itself showed a clearly identifiable core inflation measure.
What the distribution shows right away
The table breaks into four clear bands rather than one smooth global ladder. Türkiye still sits in a category of its own with core inflation above 30%. Nigeria and Egypt form a separate second tier with double-digit underlying inflation. Ukraine, Belarus and Russia make up a middle band where inflation is still materially above comfort levels but no longer comparable to outright inflation-crisis territory. Serbia, Hungary, Sri Lanka and the United States close the list with readings between 2.6% and 4.0%, which is a different policy problem altogether.
That tiering matters because similar headline CPI numbers can hide very different underlying stories. High core inflation usually points to a mix of exchange-rate pass-through, services inflation, wage pressure, administered-price adjustments or a broader inflation psychology that has not yet reset. Once core inflation falls toward the low single digits, the debate changes: the issue is no longer emergency stabilisation, but whether the last stage of disinflation will prove slow and sticky.
Interpretation note: a 3%–4% core reading does not mean a country has the same inflation problem as a country above 15%. It means the inflation story has moved from acute stress to persistence and policy timing.
Table 1. Top 10 official core inflation readings, December 2025
| Rank | Country | Core inflation (% y/y) | Official core measure used |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Türkiye | 31.66% | B index |
| 2 | Nigeria | 15.88% | All items less farm produce and energy |
| 3 | Egypt | 11.8% | Official core CPI |
| 4 | Ukraine | 8.0% | Core inflation |
| 5 | Belarus | 7.3% | Core inflation |
| 6 | Russia | 5.44% | Core inflation |
| 7 | Serbia | 4.0% | CPI excluding food, energy, alcohol and cigarettes |
| 8 | Hungary | 3.8% | Core inflation (original, seasonally unadjusted) |
| 9 | Sri Lanka | 2.7% | CCPI core inflation |
| 10 | United States | 2.6% | CPI all items less food and energy |
Ranking logic: December 2025 year-on-year readings only. Countries with ambiguous, trimmed-only, not clearly visible or non-comparable official series were excluded rather than forced into the table.
Chart 1. The distance from the top to the lower end is large
The main point is the scale of the gap. Türkiye is not marginally above the rest of the list; it sits in a separate zone. Nigeria and Egypt remain clearly elevated, but they are still far below the Turkish reading. By contrast, the lower end of the ranking clusters around the 2%–4% range, showing that the end-2025 inflation landscape was not uniformly hot but sharply segmented.
Bars correspond to the December 2025 year-on-year readings shown in Table 1.
Methodology
This ranking compares official core inflation readings at the end of 2025. The page uses the December 2025 year-on-year reading because it offers the cleanest common snapshot before 2026 monthly paths start to diverge. Only countries with an identifiable official core measure published by a central bank, national statistical office or official inflation bulletin were included.
The key limitation is comparability. “Core inflation” is not one perfectly standardised basket across countries. The United States uses CPI excluding food and energy. Türkiye prominently publishes B and C indices. Nigeria uses all items less farm produce and energy. Serbia excludes food, energy, alcohol and cigarettes. Sri Lanka uses a CCPI-based core series. These are all legitimate official measures, but they do not remove the exact same components.
The comparison should therefore be treated as a ranking of official underlying-inflation gauges, not as a perfectly standardised global laboratory exercise. A narrow but defensible country set is more informative than a broader list built from weak proxies. Countries were excluded whenever the year-end official release did not show a clean, identifiable core number or when the available measure was too indirect to compare responsibly.
Values follow the official publications and are rounded to the precision visible in the source. The ranking is designed for analytical reading, not as a substitute for each institution’s full inflation report.
Insights and interpretation
First, end-2025 core inflation was highly concentrated. Once volatile food and energy effects are stripped out, the strongest underlying pressure is no longer spread evenly across the list. The ranking is distinctly top-heavy: one economy above 30%, two more in double digits, then a sharp drop into mid-single digits and below. That pattern suggests the global inflation shock had not vanished, but had narrowed into a smaller group of economies where domestic price persistence remained unusually strong.
Second, exchange-rate pass-through and domestic demand are different mechanisms, but they often meet inside core inflation. In the highest-ranked cases, the core reading typically reflects more than one force at the same time: currency weakness feeding into non-energy prices, sticky services inflation, wage catch-up, administered-price adjustments and a slower reset of expectations. A softer headline number on its own is therefore weak evidence that inflation is fully contained.
Third, the lower end of the ranking is not a “problem solved” zone. A 2.6%–4.0% core reading is far less severe than a 10%–30% reading, but it still matters for rate cuts, refinancing conditions, wage bargaining and real income recovery. The last stretch of disinflation is often the hardest because services, shelter and labour-intensive categories usually cool more slowly than commodity-linked prices.
Main takeaway: this table is best read as a ranking of inflation persistence, not just inflation intensity. The higher the core reading, the more likely it is that tight monetary conditions will need to stay in place for longer.
What this means for the reader
For households, core inflation is one of the best signals for how hard it will be to recover purchasing power. Food and fuel can swing sharply from month to month, but rents, services, healthcare, education and routine household expenses usually move more slowly. When core inflation stays high, the parts of the budget people cannot easily avoid often keep getting more expensive.
For borrowers and businesses, the reading matters because central banks care deeply about sticky inflation. A country can look calmer on headline CPI and still keep interest rates high if its core measure remains elevated. That affects mortgage timing, business credit, investment decisions, contract pricing and salary negotiations.
For cross-country comparisons, the table works best as a risk filter. It does not tell you which country is cheap, rich or attractive in a broad sense, but it does show where the pricing environment remains unstable enough to complicate planning. The more persistent the underlying inflation story, the harder it becomes to forecast real wages, financing costs, margins and consumer behaviour.
FAQ on core inflation
Why does this page use official core series only?
Because core inflation is easy to misstate when different definitions are mixed together. Restricting the page to clearly published official series keeps the ranking narrower, but far more defensible.
Why are some high-inflation countries missing from the table?
Absence does not mean low inflation. It usually means the official year-end publication did not show one clearly usable core series, or it relied on alternative measures that were too indirect or too inconsistent for a ranking page.
Why is core inflation often more important than headline CPI?
Headline CPI can jump or fall because of oil, gas, weather-related food shocks or base effects. Core inflation is meant to show whether inflation pressure has spread into slower-moving categories such as services, rents and other routine spending.
Can headline inflation fall while core inflation stays stubborn?
Yes. That is common when energy or food inflation cools faster than service inflation. In those cases the public headline looks better, but the central bank still sees persistent domestic price pressure underneath.
Does a 2%–4% core reading mean the inflation problem is over?
Not automatically. It usually means the country is no longer in acute inflation stress, but the final stage of disinflation can still be slow. Service prices, shelter costs and wages often cool with a lag.
What is the main weakness of cross-country core inflation rankings?
The baskets are not identical. Every country removes volatility in its own way, so the ranking compares official underlying-inflation gauges rather than one perfectly standardised global measure.
Why does a country with lower headline inflation sometimes still look risky?
Because the risk can sit in core inflation rather than in the headline figure. If underlying inflation is sticky, rates may stay high, credit conditions may remain tight and real incomes may recover more slowly than the headline number suggests.
Official sources
Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye
December 2025 price developments, including B and C core indices.
December 2025 price developmentsCentral Bank of Nigeria
Official inflation rates page with the “all items less farm produce and energy” series.
Inflation ratesCentral Bank of Egypt
December 2025 CPI press release with the official core CPI reading.
CPI press release, December 2025National Bank of Ukraine
Year-end 2025 inflation update with the December core reading.
2025 inflation updateNational Bank of the Republic of Belarus
Quarterly inflation review covering the December 2025 core reading.
Inflation quarterly review, Q4 2025Bank of Russia
December 2025 inflation commentary with the official core inflation estimate.
Inflation in Russia, December 2025National Bank of Serbia
Inflation movements in December 2025 with explicit year-on-year core inflation.
Inflation movements in December 2025Hungarian Central Statistical Office
December 2025 consumer price release with core inflation.
Consumer prices, December 2025 and year 2025Central Bank of Sri Lanka
December 2025 CCPI release including the core series.
CCPI-based inflation, December 2025U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
December 2025 CPI release with the “all items less food and energy” measure.
Consumer Price Index news release, December 2025Cross-country context
Useful methodological and comparative references for interpreting official inflation series.
BIS consumer price dataOECD inflation indicators
IMF World Economic Outlook
Date of update: April 9, 2026. Snapshot used for the ranking: December 2025.