Global Fertility League Table: Top 100 Countries by Total Fertility Rate, 2025
2025 Projected Fertility Ranking at a Glance
Chad has the highest projected total fertility rate for 2025 in the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium scenario at 5.9377 children per woman, followed by Somalia at 5.9121 and the Democratic Republic of the Congo at 5.9024. The metric is total fertility rate, the unit is children per woman, and higher values rank higher.
The ranking contains 100 confirmed entries from a 195-state eligibility universe. All 100 rows have status official_forecast: the values are official UN-published medium-scenario projections for target year 2025, not observed 2025 fertility measurements.
Coverage is limited to the 193 UN Member States plus the Holy See and the State of Palestine, the two UN non-member Observer States. WPP territories and other separately reported areas are excluded before ranking.
The table is a compiled research dataset based on 7 sources, with row-level source and method notes shown in the ranking table. Numeric values come from one primary UN WPP 2024 dataset; six additional official UN sources support the methodology, indicator definition and country-scope rules. Source snapshot checked September 19, 2026.
Raw UN WPP 2024 medium-scenario value: 5.9377 children per woman.
Peru is rank 100 at 1.9430. This is the Top-100 cutoff, not the lowest TFR among all 195 states.
Top 100 entries after applying the 195-state UN Member/Observer State scope.
Calculated from ranks 50 and 51: (3.1681 + 3.1357) ÷ 2 = 3.1519.
100 official_forecast rows; UN WPP 2024 revision; medium scenario; descending rank.
Overview: What Total Fertility Rate Measures
Total fertility rate is a period measure: the mean number of live births a woman would have by age 55 if she survived to that age and experienced throughout her life the age-specific fertility rates applying in the specified year. It is expressed as children per woman.
TFR is not the number of babies born in 2025 and is not a direct measure of population growth. Countries with similar TFRs can have very different birth totals because population size and age structure differ.
Country-scope rule: WPP covers 237 countries or areas, while this ranking filters the source to the 193 UN Member States plus the Holy See and State of Palestine. Other separately reported WPP areas are excluded before rank assignment.
Top 10 Countries by Projected Total Fertility Rate in 2025
The ten highest projected country TFRs range from 5.9377 children per woman in Chad to 4.6198 in Mozambique. Nine of the Top 10 are in Africa; Afghanistan is the only Asian country in the first ten.
Top 10 projected TFR values, UN WPP 2024 medium scenario, target year 2025
| Rank | Entity | TFR | Source / method note |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chad | 5.938 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 2 | Somalia | 5.912 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 3 | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 5.902 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 4 | Central African Republic | 5.809 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 5 | Niger | 5.786 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 6 | Mali | 5.421 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 7 | Angola | 4.953 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 8 | Burundi | 4.675 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 9 | Afghanistan | 4.659 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 10 | Mozambique | 4.620 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
Display values use standard decimal rounding to three places. Rank is calculated from the four-decimal raw TFR values, descending.
Chart: Top 20 Countries by Projected 2025 Fertility Rate
Chad is the maximum at 5.9377 children per woman. Eighteen of the Top 20 countries are in Africa; Afghanistan and Yemen are the two Asian entries.
Methodology
The ranking uses the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, World Population Prospects 2024 Revision. The target year is 2025, the metric is total fertility rate in children per woman, and countries are sorted by the raw TFR value from highest to lowest.
Metric
Total fertility rate summarizes the age-specific fertility rates applying in a specified year. Unit: children per woman.
2025 data status
WPP 2024 estimates fertility through 2023 and projects from 2024 onward. Every ranking value is therefore an official_forecast: an official UN-published projection, not an observed 2025 measurement.
Projection method
The WPP 2024 medium fertility scenario uses the mean of 2,000 projected total-fertility trajectories. The values on this page are taken directly from that published medium scenario; no separate fertility forecast is calculated here.
Country universe
Eligibility is restricted to 193 UN Member States plus the Holy See and State of Palestine, the two non-member Observer States. Other WPP countries or areas are excluded before rank assignment.
Ranking and rounding
Rank uses the four-decimal raw value in descending order. Display values use standard decimal rounding to three places only after ranking. The Top-100 median is (3.1681 + 3.1357) ÷ 2 = 3.1519.
Regions
Broad regional labels are used only for filters and descriptive counts: Africa, Asia, Europe, Oceania, and Latin America & Caribbean.
Missing values and conflicts
No row is included without a 2025 WPP medium-scenario TFR. Conflicting secondary values are not averaged; the official WPP value controls the ranking.
Limits
TFR does not directly measure annual birth counts, population growth, migration, household size, completed cohort fertility or future population size.
No calculated_value or modeled_projection rows are used. Ranking, display rounding, the Top-100 median and regional counts are calculations derived from the published table and do not alter the underlying UN projection values.
A TFR near 2.1 is often used as an approximate replacement benchmark in low-mortality populations, but the exact replacement level varies with mortality conditions and the sex ratio at birth.
Main Ranking: Top 100 Countries by Projected Total Fertility Rate in 2025
Search the 100-country ranking, filter by region or data status, change the sort order, or limit the view to the original Top 10 or Top 20.
Projected 2025 total fertility rate, children per woman — UN WPP 2024 medium scenario
| Rank | Entity | TFR | Source / method note |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chad | 5.938 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 2 | Somalia | 5.912 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 3 | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 5.902 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 4 | Central African Republic | 5.809 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 5 | Niger | 5.786 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 6 | Mali | 5.421 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 7 | Angola | 4.953 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 8 | Burundi | 4.675 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 9 | Afghanistan | 4.659 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 10 | Mozambique | 4.620 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 11 | Mauritania | 4.560 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 12 | United Republic of Tanzania | 4.466 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 13 | Benin | 4.416 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 14 | Yemen | 4.413 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 15 | Nigeria | 4.297 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 16 | Sudan | 4.193 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 17 | Cameroon | 4.185 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 18 | Côte d'Ivoire | 4.166 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 19 | Togo | 4.067 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 20 | Uganda | 4.063 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 21 | Congo | 4.048 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 22 | Guinea | 4.041 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 23 | Equatorial Guinea | 4.037 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 24 | Burkina Faso | 4.005 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 25 | Zambia | 3.970 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 26 | Madagascar | 3.845 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 27 | Ethiopia | 3.806 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 28 | Gambia | 3.804 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 29 | Liberia | 3.789 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 30 | Comoros | 3.763 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 31 | Samoa | 3.753 | Oceania; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 32 | Senegal | 3.713 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 33 | South Sudan | 3.708 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 34 | Guinea-Bissau | 3.682 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 35 | Zimbabwe | 3.622 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 36 | Eritrea | 3.613 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 37 | Sierra Leone | 3.609 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 38 | Rwanda | 3.590 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 39 | Gabon | 3.537 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 40 | Vanuatu | 3.532 | Oceania; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 41 | Malawi | 3.527 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 42 | Sao Tome and Principe | 3.526 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 43 | Pakistan | 3.495 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 44 | Solomon Islands | 3.465 | Oceania; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 45 | Uzbekistan | 3.449 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 46 | Ghana | 3.300 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 47 | Nauru | 3.248 | Oceania; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 48 | State of Palestine | 3.188 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 49 | Iraq | 3.174 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 50 | Namibia | 3.168 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 51 | Tuvalu | 3.136 | Oceania; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 52 | Kenya | 3.121 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 53 | Kiribati | 3.092 | Oceania; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 54 | Tonga | 3.066 | Oceania; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 55 | Papua New Guinea | 3.027 | Oceania; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 56 | Tajikistan | 2.994 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 57 | Kazakhstan | 2.950 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 58 | Marshall Islands | 2.819 | Oceania; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 59 | Israel | 2.753 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 60 | Kyrgyzstan | 2.752 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 61 | Egypt | 2.708 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 62 | Micronesia (Fed. States of) | 2.706 | Oceania; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 63 | Eswatini | 2.680 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 64 | Algeria | 2.670 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 65 | Botswana | 2.664 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 66 | Syrian Arab Republic | 2.660 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 67 | Lesotho | 2.637 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 68 | Turkmenistan | 2.628 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 69 | Haiti | 2.586 | Latin America & Caribbean; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 70 | Mongolia | 2.585 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 71 | Djibouti | 2.579 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 72 | Jordan | 2.573 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 73 | Timor-Leste | 2.561 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 74 | Cambodia | 2.514 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 75 | Bolivia (Plurinational State of) | 2.497 | Latin America & Caribbean; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 76 | Oman | 2.479 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 77 | Honduras | 2.452 | Latin America & Caribbean; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 78 | Paraguay | 2.395 | Latin America & Caribbean; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 79 | Guyana | 2.370 | Latin America & Caribbean; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 80 | Lao People's Democratic Republic | 2.361 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 81 | Saudi Arabia | 2.292 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 82 | Guatemala | 2.256 | Latin America & Caribbean; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 83 | Libya | 2.254 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 84 | Fiji | 2.248 | Oceania; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 85 | Suriname | 2.211 | Latin America & Caribbean; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 86 | Lebanon | 2.208 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 87 | Dominican Republic | 2.195 | Latin America & Caribbean; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 88 | South Africa | 2.186 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 89 | Morocco | 2.184 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 90 | Nicaragua | 2.181 | Latin America & Caribbean; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 91 | Bangladesh | 2.114 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 92 | Indonesia | 2.096 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 93 | Monaco | 2.092 | Europe; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 94 | Panama | 2.089 | Latin America & Caribbean; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 95 | Seychelles | 2.083 | Africa; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 96 | Myanmar | 2.076 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 97 | Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) | 2.060 | Latin America & Caribbean; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 98 | Belize | 2.009 | Latin America & Caribbean; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 99 | India | 1.944 | Asia; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
| 100 | Peru | 1.943 | Latin America & Caribbean; official_forecast; UN WPP 2024 medium scenario; target year 2025. |
Primary numeric source: UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium demographic indicators dataset. Every row has target year 2025, source revision 2024 and status official_forecast. Raw values determine rank; display values are rounded to three decimals.
Insights From the 2025 Top 100 Fertility Table
Key Insight
Chad, Somalia and the Democratic Republic of the Congo form a tight top three at 5.9377, 5.9121 and 5.9024. The gap between first and third is 0.0353 children per woman.
Notable Pattern
Twenty-four countries in the Top 100 have projected TFRs of at least 4.0. Burkina Faso is rank 24 at 4.0045; Zambia is rank 25 at 3.9698.
Regional Concentration
Africa accounts for 51 of the 100 entries, Asia 24, Latin America & Caribbean 13, Oceania 11 and Europe one. Africa accounts for 18 of the Top 20.
Outlier
Monaco is the only European country in this Top 100, at rank 93 with a projected TFR of 2.0915.
What the Ranking Means
This table compares projected period fertility levels under the WPP 2024 medium scenario. Rank describes relative TFR, not the absolute number of births or a country's future population size.
The ranking is conditional on the WPP 2024 projection framework and the 195-state scope used here. Later WPP revisions can change historical estimates and projected values as new censuses, registration data, surveys and modelling updates are incorporated.
Download the Global Fertility League Table: Top 100 Countries by Total Fertility Rate, 2025 dataset
Global Fertility League Table: Top 100 Countries by Total Fertility Rate, 2025
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Download Excel + CSV Data PackFAQ
Which country has the highest projected fertility rate in 2025?
Chad ranks first in this 195-state table with a UN WPP 2024 medium-scenario projection of 5.9377 children per woman. Somalia is second at 5.9121 and the Democratic Republic of the Congo is third at 5.9024.
Are these observed 2025 fertility values?
The 2025 values are official UN-published projections, not observed 2025 fertility measurements. WPP 2024 estimates fertility through 2023 and begins its projection period in 2024.
What does total fertility rate mean?
TFR summarizes the age-specific fertility rates applying in a specified year into the mean number of live births a woman would have by age 55 under those rates, assuming survival to that age.
Why are Mayotte, French Guiana and Guam excluded?
WPP publishes data for countries and areas. This ranking uses a narrower 195-state scope: 193 UN Member States plus the Holy See and State of Palestine. Other WPP areas are excluded before ranking.
Is 2.1 always the replacement fertility level?
No. Around 2.1 is a common approximation for low-mortality populations, but the exact replacement level varies with mortality and the sex ratio at birth.
Does a higher TFR mean a country has more births?
No. TFR is a rate, not a birth count. A large population with a lower TFR can record more births than a small population with a higher TFR.
Sources
Primary Numeric Source — UN WPP 2024 Medium Demographic Indicators CSV
Direct numeric source for the 2025 total fertility rate values used in the ranking.
Supporting Source — UN World Population Prospects 2024
Official revision overview, coverage, downloads and documentation for UN population estimates and projections.
Supporting Source — UN Population Data Portal
Official metadata identifying total fertility rate, its unit, WPP source, 2024 revision and time coverage.
Supporting Source — WPP 2024 Methodology Report
Supports the TFR definition, the estimation period through 2023, projection period beginning in 2024 and the use of the mean of 2,000 fertility trajectories for the medium scenario.
https://population.un.org/wpp/assets/Files/WPP2024_Methodology-Report_Final.pdf
Supporting Source — WPP 2024 Data Sources
Country-by-country documentation of demographic evidence informing WPP estimates.
https://population.un.org/wpp/assets/Excel%20Files/4_Metadata/WPP2024_Data_Sources.pdf
Supporting Source — United Nations Member States
Official UN reference for the 193 Member States used in the eligibility rule.
Supporting Source — United Nations Non-Member States
Official UN reference identifying the Holy See and State of Palestine as non-member Observer States.
